Understanding Opportunities and
Risks in Futures Trading
Table of Contents
-
Introduction
-
Futures Markets: What, Why &
Who
-
The Market Participants
-
What is a Futures Contract?
-
The Process of Price Discovery
-
After the Closing Bell
-
The Arithmetic of Futures
-
Trading
-
Margins
-
Basic Trading Strategies
-
Buying (Going Long) to Profit
from an Expected Price Increase Selling
-
(Going Short) to Profit from
an Expected Price Decrease Spreads
-
Participating in Futures
Trading
-
Deciding How to Participate
-
Regulation of Futures Trading
-
Establishing an Account
-
What to Look for in a Futures
Contract
-
The Contract Unit
-
How Prices are Quoted
-
Minimum Price Changes
-
Daily Price Limits
-
Position Limits
-
Understanding (and Managing)
the Risks of Futures Trading
-
Choosing a Futures Contract
-
Liquidity
-
Timing
-
Stop Orders
-
Spreads
-
Options on Futures Contracts
-
Buying Call Options
-
Buying Put Options
-
How Option Premiums are
Determined
-
Selling Options
-
In Closing
INTRODUCTION
Futures markets have been
described as continuous auction markets and as clearing
houses for the latest information about supply and demand.
They are the meeting places of buyers and sellers of an
ever-expanding list of commodities that today includes
agricultural products, metals, petroleum, financial
instruments, foreign currencies and stock indexes. Trading
has also been initiated in options on futures contracts,
enabling option buyers to participate in futures markets
with known risks.
Notwithstanding the rapid
growth and diversification of futures markets, their primary
purpose remains the same as it has been for nearly a century
and a half, to provide an efficient and effective mechanism
for the management of price risks. By buying or selling
futures contracts--contracts that establish a price level
now for items to be delivered later--individuals and
businesses seek to achieve what amounts to insurance against
adverse price changes. This is called hedging.
Volume has increased from 14
million futures contracts traded in 1970 to 179 million
futures and options on futures contracts traded in 1985.
Other futures market
participants are speculative investors who accept the risks
that hedgers wish to avoid. Most speculators have no
intention of making or taking delivery of the commodity but,
rather, seek to profit from a change in the price. That is,
they buy when they anticipate rising prices and sell when
they anticipate declining prices. The interaction of hedgers
and speculators helps to provide active, liquid and
competitive markets. Speculative participation in futures
trading has become increasingly attractive with the
availability of alternative methods of participation.
Whereas many futures traders continue to prefer to make
their own trading decisions--such as what to buy and sell
and when to buy and sell--others choose to utilize the
services of a professional trading advisor, or to avoid
day-to-day trading responsibilities by establishing a fully
managed trading account or participating in a commodity pool
which is similar in concept to a mutual fund.
For those individuals who
fully understand and can afford the risks which are
involved, the allocation of some portion of their capital to
futures trading can provide a means of achieving greater
diversification and a potentially higher overall rate of
return on their investments. There are also a number of ways
in which futures can be used in combination with stocks,
bonds and other investments.
Speculation in futures
contracts, however, is clearly not appropriate for everyone.
Just as it is possible to realize substantial profits in a
short period of time, it is also possible to incur
substantial losses in a short period of time. The
possibility of large profits or losses in relation to the
initial commitment of capital stems principally from the
fact that futures trading is a highly leveraged form of
speculation. Only a relatively small amount of money is
required to control assets having a much greater value. As
we will discuss and illustrate, the leverage of futures
trading can work for you when prices move in the direction
you anticipate or against you when prices move in the
opposite direction.
It is not the purpose of this
brochure to suggest that you should--or should
not--participate in futures trading. That is a decision you
should make only after consultation with your broker or
financial advisor and in light of your own financial
situation and objectives.
Intended to help provide you
with the kinds of information you should first obtain--and
the questions you should seek answers to--in regard to any
investment you are considering:
* Information about the
investment itself and the risks involved
* How readily your investment
or position can be liquidated when such action is necessary
or desired
* Who the other market
participants are
* Alternate methods of
participation
* How prices are arrived at
* The costs of trading
* How gains and losses are
realized
* What forms of regulation
and protection exist
* The experience, integrity
and track record of your broker or advisor
* The financial stability of
the firm with which you are dealing
In sum, the information you
need to be an informed investor.
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FUTURES MARKET
The frantic shouting and
signaling of bids and offers on the trading floor of a
futures exchange undeniably convey an impression of chaos.
The reality however, is that chaos is what futures markets
replaced. Prior to the establishment of central grain
markets in the mid-nineteenth century, the nation farmers
carted their newly harvested crops over plank roads to major
population and transportation centers each fall in search of
buyers. The seasonal glut drove prices to giveaway levels
and, indeed, to throwaway levels as grain often rotted in
the streets or was dumped in rivers and lakes for lack of
storage. Come spring, shortages frequently developed and
foods made from corn and wheat became barely affordable
luxuries. Throughout the year, it was each buyer and seller
for himself with neither a place nor a mechanism for
organized, competitive bidding. The first central markets
were formed to meet that need. Eventually, contracts were
entered into for forward as well as for spot (immediate)
delivery. So-called forwards were the forerunners of present
day futures contracts.
Spurred by the need to manage
price and interest rate risks that exist in virtually every
type of modern business, today's futures markets have also
become major financial markets. Participants include
mortgage bankers as well as farmers, bond dealers as well as
grain merchants, and multinational corporations as well as
food processors, savings and loan associations, and
individual speculators.
Futures prices arrived at
through competitive bidding are immediately and continuously
relayed around the world by wire and satellite. A farmer in
Nebraska, a merchant in Amsterdam, an importer in Tokyo and
a speculator in Ohio thereby have simultaneous access to the
latest market-derived price quotations. And, should they
choose, they can establish a price level for future
delivery--or for speculative purposes--simply by having
their broker buy or sell the appropriate contracts. Images
created by the fast-paced activity of the trading floor
notwithstanding, regulated futures markets are a keystone of
one of the world's most orderly envied and intensely
competitive marketing systems. Should you at some time
decide to trade in futures contracts, either for speculation
or in connection with a risk management strategy, your
orders to buy or sell would be communicated by phone from
the brokerage office you use and then to the trading pit or
ring for execution by a floor broker. If you are a buyer,
the broker will seek a seller at the lowest available price.
If you are a seller, the broker will seek a buyer at the
highest available price. That's what the shouting and
signaling is about.
In either case, the person
who takes the opposite side of your trade may be or may
represent someone who is a commercial hedger or perhaps
someone who is a public speculator. Or, quite possibly, the
other party may be an independent floor trader. In becoming
acquainted with futures markets, it is useful to have at
least a general understanding of who these various market
participants are, what they are doing and why.
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Hedgers
The details of hedging can be
somewhat complex but the principle is simple. Hedgers are
individuals and firms that make purchases and sales in the
futures market solely for the purpose of establishing a
known price level--weeks or months in advance--for something
they later intend to buy or sell in the cash market (such as
at a grain elevator or in the bond market). In this way they
attempt to protect themselves against the risk of an
unfavorable price change in the interim. Or hedgers may use
futures to lock in an acceptable margin between their
purchase cost and their selling price. Consider this
example:
A jewelry manufacturer will
need to buy additional gold from his supplier in six months.
Between now and then, however, he fears the price of gold
may increase. That could be a problem because he has already
published his catalog for a year ahead.
To lock in the price level at
which gold is presently being quoted for delivery in six
months, he buys a futures contract at a price of, say, $350
an ounce.
If, six months later, the
cash market price of gold has risen to $370, he will have to
pay his supplier that amount to acquire gold. However, the
extra $20 an ounce cost will be offset by a $20 an ounce
profit when the futures contract bought at $350 is sold for
$370. In effect, the hedge provided insurance against an
increase in the price of gold. It locked in a net cost of
$350, regardless of what happened to the cash market price
of gold. Had the price of gold declined instead of risen, he
would have incurred a loss on his futures position but this
would have been offset by the lower cost of acquiring gold
in the cash market.
The number and variety of
hedging possibilities is practically limitless. A cattle
feeder can hedge against a decline in livestock prices and a
meat packer or supermarket chain can hedge against an
increase in livestock prices. Borrowers can hedge against
higher interest rates, and lenders against lower interest
rates. Investors can hedge against an overall decline in
stock prices, and those who anticipate having money to
invest can hedge against an increase in the over-all level
of stock prices. And the list goes on.
Whatever the hedging
strategy, the common denominator is that hedgers willingly
give up the opportunity to benefit from favorable price
changes in order to achieve protection against unfavorable
price changes.
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Speculators
Were you to speculate in
futures contracts, the person taking the opposite side of
your trade on any given occasion could be a hedger or it
might well be another speculator--someone whose opinion
about the probable direction of prices differs from your
own.
The arithmetic of speculation
in futures contracts--including the opportunities it offers
and the risks it involves--will be discussed in detail later
on. For now, suffice it to say that speculators are
individuals and firms who seek to profit from anticipated
increases or decreases in futures prices. In so doing, they
help provide the risk capital needed to facilitate hedging.
Someone who expects a futures
price to increase would purchase futures contracts in the
hope of later being able to sell them at a higher price.
This is known as "going long." Conversely, someone who
expects a futures price to decline would sell futures
contracts in the hope of later being able to buy back
identical and offsetting contracts at a lower price. The
practice of selling futures contracts in anticipation of
lower prices is known as "going short." One of the
attractive features of futures trading is that it is equally
easy to profit from declining prices (by selling) as it is
to profit from rising prices (by buying).
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Floor Traders
Persons known as floor
traders or locals, who buy and sell for their own accounts
on the trading floors of the exchanges, are the least known
and understood of all futures market participants. Yet their
role is an important one. Like specialists and market makers
at securities exchanges, they help to provide market
liquidity. If there isn't a hedger or another speculator who
is immediately willing to take the other side of your order
at or near the going price, the chances are there will be an
independent floor trader who will do so, in the hope of
minutes or even seconds later being able to make an
offsetting trade at a small profit. In the grain markets,
for example, there is frequently only one-fourth of a cent a
bushel difference between the prices at which a floor trader
buys and sells.
Floor traders, of course,
have no guarantee they will realize a profit. They may end
up losing money on any given trade. Their presence, however,
makes for more liquid and competitive markets. It should be
pointed out, however, that unlike market makers or
specialists, floor traders are not obligated to maintain a
liquid market or to take the opposite side of customer
orders.
| |
Reasons for Buying
futures contracts |
Reasons for Selling
futures contracts |
| Hedgers |
To lock in a price and
thereby obtain protection against rising prices |
To lock in a price and
thereby obtain protection against declining prices |
| Speculators and floor
Traders |
To profit from rising
prices |
To profit from
declining prices |
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What is a
Futures Contract?
There are two types of
futures contracts, those that provide for physical delivery
of a particular commodity or item and those which call for a
cash settlement. The month during which delivery or
settlement is to occur is specified. Thus, a July futures
contract is one providing for delivery or settlement in
July.
It should be noted that even
in the case of delivery-type futures contracts,very few
actually result in delivery.* Not many speculators have the
desire to take or make delivery of, say, 5,000 bushels of
wheat, or 112,000 pounds of sugar, or a million dollars
worth of U.S. Treasury bills for that matter. Rather, the
vast majority of speculators in futures markets choose to
realize their gains or losses by buying or selling
offsetting futures contracts prior to the delivery date.
Selling a contract that was previously purchased liquidates
a futures position in exactly the same way, for example,
that selling 100 shares of IBM stock liquidates an earlier
purchase of 100 shares of IBM stock. Similarly, a futures
contract that was initially sold can be liquidated by an
offsetting purchase. In either case, gain or loss is the
difference between the buying price and the selling price.
Even hedgers generally don't
make or take delivery. Most, like the jewelry manufacturer
illustrated earlier, find it more convenient to liquidate
their futures positions and (if they realize a gain) use the
money to offset whatever adverse price change has occurred
in the cash market.
* When delivery does occur it
is in the form of a negotiable instrument (such as a
warehouse receipt) that evidences the holder's ownership of
the commodity, at some designated location.
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Since delivery on futures
contracts is the exception rather than the rule, why do most
contracts even have a delivery provision? There are two
reasons. One is that it offers buyers and sellers the
opportunity to take or make delivery of the physical
commodity if they so choose. More importantly, however, the
fact that buyers and sellers can take or make delivery helps
to assure that futures prices will accurately reflect the
cash market value of the commodity at the time the contract
expires--i.e., that futures and cash prices will eventually
converge. It is convergence that makes hedging an effective
way to obtain protection against an adverse change in the
cash market price.*
* Convergence occurs at the
expiration of the futures contract because any difference
between the cash and futures prices would quickly be negated
by profit-minded investors who would buy the commodity in
the lowest-price market and sell it in the highest-price
market until the price difference disappeared. This is known
as arbitrage and is a form of trading generally best left to
professionals in the cash and futures markets.
Cash settlement futures
contracts are precisely that, contracts which are settled in
cash rather than by delivery at the time the contract
expires. Stock index futures contracts, for example, are
settled in cash on the basis of the index number at the
close of the final day of trading. There is no provision for
delivery of the shares of stock that make up the various
indexes. That would be impractical. With a cash settlement
contract, convergence is automatic.
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The Process of Price Discovery
Futures prices increase and
decrease largely because of the myriad factors that
influence buyers' and sellers' judgments about what a
particular commodity will be worth at a given time in the
future (anywhere from less than a month to more than two
years).
As new supply and demand
developments occur and as new and more current information
becomes available, these judgments are reassessed and the
price of a particular futures contract may be bid upward or
downward. The process of reassessment--of price
discovery--is continuous.
Thus, in January, the price
of a July futures contract would reflect the consensus of
buyers' and sellers' opinions at that time as to what the
value of a commodity or item will be when the contract
expires in July. On any given day, with the arrival of new
or more accurate information, the price of the July futures
contract might increase or decrease in response to changing
expectations.
Competitive price discovery
is a major economic function--and, indeed, a major economic
benefit--of futures trading. The trading floor of a futures
exchange is where available information about the future
value of a commodity or item is translated into the language
of price. In summary, futures prices are an ever changing
barometer of supply and demand and, in a dynamic market, the
only certainty is that prices will change.
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After the Closing Bell
Once a closing bell signals
the end of a day's trading, the exchange's clearing
organization matches each purchase made that day with its
corresponding sale and tallies each member firm's gains or
losses based on that day's price changes--a massive
undertaking considering that nearly two-thirds of a million
futures contracts are bought and sold on an average day.
Each firm, in turn, calculates the gains and losses for each
of its customers having futures contracts.
Gains and losses on futures
contracts are not only calculated on a daily basis, they are
credited and deducted on a daily basis. Thus, if a
speculator were to have, say, a $300 profit as a result of
the day's price changes, that amount would be immediately
credited to his brokerage account and, unless required for
other purposes, could be withdrawn. On the other hand, if
the day's price changes had resulted in a $300 loss, his
account would be immediately debited for that amount.
The process just described is
known as a daily cash settlement and is an important feature
of futures trading. As will be seen when we discuss margin
requirements, it is also the reason a customer who incurs a
loss on a futures position may be called on to deposit
additional funds to his account.
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The Arithmetic of Futures
Trading
To say that gains and losses
in futures trading are the result of price changes is an
accurate explanation but by no means a complete explanation.
Perhaps more so than in any other form of speculation or
investment, gains and losses in futures trading are highly
leveraged. An understanding of leverage--and of how it can
work to your advantage or disadvantage--is crucial to an
understanding of futures trading.
As mentioned in the
introduction, the leverage of futures trading stems from the
fact that only a relatively small amount of money (known as
initial margin) is required to buy or sell a futures
contract. On a particular day, a margin deposit of only
$1,000 might enable you to buy or sell a futures contract
covering $25,000 worth of soybeans. Or for $10,000, you
might be able to purchase a futures contract covering common
stocks worth $260,000. The smaller the margin in relation to
the value of the futures contract, the greater the leverage.
If you speculate in futures
contracts and the price moves in the direction you
anticipated, high leverage can produce large profits in
relation to your initial margin. Conversely, if prices move
in the opposite direction, high leverage can produce large
losses in relation to your initial margin. Leverage is a
two-edged sword.
For example, assume that in
anticipation of rising stock prices you buy one June S&P 500
stock index futures contract at a time when the June index
is trading at 1000. And assume your initial margin
requirement is $10,000. Since the value of the futures
contract is $250 times the index, each 1 point change in the
index represents a $250 gain or loss.
Thus, an increase in the
index from 1000 to 1040 would double your $10,000 margin
deposit and a decrease from 1000 to 960 would wipe it out.
That's a 100% gain or loss as the result of only a 4% change
in the stock index!
Said another way, while
buying (or selling) a futures contract provides exactly the
same dollars and cents profit potential as owning (or
selling short) the actual commodities or items covered by
the contract, low margin requirements sharply increase the
percentage profit or loss potential. For example, it can be
one thing to have the value of your portfolio of common
stocks decline from $100,000 to $96,000 (a 4% loss) but
quite another (at least emotionally) to deposit $10,000 as
margin for a futures contract and end up losing that much or
more as the result of only a 4% price decline. Futures
trading thus requires not only the necessary financial
resources but also the necessary financial and emotional
temperament.
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Trading
An absolute requisite for
anyone considering trading in futures contracts--whether
it's sugar or stock indexes, pork bellies or petroleum--is
to clearly understand the concept of leverage as well as the
amount of gain or loss that will result from any given
change in the futures price of the particular futures
contract you would be trading. If you cannot afford the
risk, or even if you are uncomfortable with the risk, the
only sound advice is don't trade. Futures trading is not for
everyone.
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Margins
As is apparent from the
preceding discussion, the arithmetic of leverage is the
arithmetic of margins. An understanding of margins--and of
the several different kinds of margin--is essential to an
understanding of futures trading.
If your previous investment
experience has mainly involved common stocks, you know that
the term margin--as used in connection with securities--has
to do with the cash down payment and money borrowed from a
broker to purchase stocks. But used in connection with
futures trading, margin has an altogether different meaning
and serves an altogether different purpose.
Rather than providing a down
payment, the margin required to buy or sell a futures
contract is solely a deposit of good faith money that can be
drawn on by your brokerage firm to cover losses that you may
incur in the course of futures trading. It is much like
money held in an escrow account. Minimum margin requirements
for a particular futures contract at a particular time are
set by the exchange on which the contract is traded. They
are typically about five percent of the current value of the
futures contract. Exchanges continuously monitor market
conditions and risks and, as necessary, raise or reduce
their margin requirements. Individual brokerage firms may
require higher margin amounts from their customers than the
exchange-set minimums.
There are two margin-related
terms you should know: Initial margin and maintenance
margin.
Initial margin
(sometimes called original margin) is the sum of money that
the customer must deposit with the brokerage firm for each
futures contract to be bought or sold. On any day that
profits accrue on your open positions, the profits will be
added to the balance in your margin account. On any day
losses accrue, the losses will be deducted from the balance
in your margin account.
If and when the funds
remaining available in your margin account are reduced by
losses to below a certain level--known as the maintenance
margin requirement--your broker will require that you
deposit additional funds to bring the account back to the
level of the initial margin. Or, you may also be asked for
additional margin if the exchange or your brokerage firm
raises its margin requirements. Requests for additional
margin are known as margin calls.
Assume, for example, that the
initial margin needed to buy or sell a particular futures
contract is $2,000 and that the maintenance margin
requirement is $1,500. Should losses on open positions
reduce the funds remaining in your trading account to, say,
$1,400 (an amount less than the maintenance requirement),
you will receive a margin call for the $600 needed to
restore your account to $2,000.
Before trading in futures
contracts, be sure you understand the brokerage firm's
Margin Agreement and know how and when the firm expects
margin calls to be met. Some firms may require only that you
mail a personal check. Others may insist you wire transfer
funds from your bank or provide same-day or next-day
delivery of a certified or cashier's check. If margin calls
are not met in the prescribed time and form, the firm can
protect itself by liquidating your open positions at the
available market price (possibly resulting in an unsecured
loss for which you would be liable).
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Basic Trading Strategies
Even if you should decide to
participate in futures trading in a way that doesn't involve
having to make day-to-day trading decisions (such as a
managed account or commodity pool), it is nonetheless useful
to understand the dollars and cents of how futures trading
gains and losses are realized. And, of course, if you intend
to trade your own account, such an understanding is
essential.
Dozens of different
strategies and variations of strategies are employed by
futures traders in pursuit of speculative profits. Here is a
brief description and illustration of several basic
strategies.
Someone expecting the price of a
particular commodity or item to increase over from a given
period of time can seek to profit by buying futures
contracts. If correct in forecasting the direction and
timing of the price change, the futures contract can later
be sold for the higher price, thereby yielding a profit.* If
the price declines rather than increases, the trade will
result in a loss. Because of leverage, the gain or loss may
be greater than the initial margin deposit.
For example, assume it's now
January, the July soybean futures contract is presently
quoted at $6.00, and over the coming months you expect the
price to increase. You decide to deposit the required
initial margin of, say, $1,500 and buy one July soybean
futures contract. Further assume that by April the July
soybean futures price has risen to $6.40 and you decide to
take your profit by selling. Since each contract is for
5,000 bushels, your 40-cent a bushel profit would be 5,000
bushels x 40 cents or $2,000 less transaction costs.
* For simplicity examples do
not take into account commissions and other transaction
costs. These costs are important, however, and you should be
sure you fully understand them. Suppose, however, that
rather than rising to $6.40, the July soybean futures price
had declined to $5.60 and that, in order to avoid the
possibility of further loss, you elect to sell the contract
at that price. On 5,000 bushels your 40-cent a bushel loss
would thus come to $2,000 plus transaction costs.
Note that the loss in this example exceeded your $1,500
initial margin. Your broker would then call upon you, as
needed, for additional margin funds to cover the loss.
(Going short) to profit from an expected price decrease The
only way going short to profit from an expected price
decrease differs from going long to profit from an expected
price increase is the sequence of the trades. Instead of
first buying a futures contract, you first sell a futures
contract. If, as expected, the price declines, a profit can
be realized by later purchasing an offsetting futures
contract at the lower price. The gain per unit will be the
amount by which the purchase price is below the earlier
selling price. For example, assume that in January your
research or other available information indicates a probable
decrease in cattle prices over the next several months. In
the hope of profiting, you deposit an initial margin of
$2,000 and sell one April live cattle futures contract at a
price of, say, 65 cents a pound. Each contract is for 40,000
pounds, meaning each 1 cent a pound change in price will
increase or decrease the value of the futures contract by
$400. If, by March, the price has declined to 60 cents a
pound, an offsetting futures contract can be purchased at 5
cents a pound below the original selling price. On the
40,000 pound contract, that's a gain of 5 cents x 40,000
lbs. or $2,000 less transaction costs.
Assume you were wrong.
Instead of decreasing, the April live cattle futures price
increases--to, say, 70 cents a pound by the time in March
when you eventually liquidate your short futures position
through an offsetting purchase. The outcome would be as
follows:
In this example, the loss of 5 cents a
pound on the futures transaction resulted in a total loss of
the $2,000 you deposited as initial margin plus transaction
costs.
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Spreads
While most speculative
futures transactions involve a simple purchase of futures
contracts to profit from an expected price increase--or an
equally simple sale to profit from an expected price
decrease--numerous other possible strategies exist. Spreads
are one example. A spread, at least in its simplest form,
involves buying one futures contract and selling another
futures contract. The purpose is to profit from an expected
change in the relationship between the purchase price of one
and the selling price of the other. As an illustration,
assume it's now November, that the March wheat futures price
is presently $3.10 a bushel and the May wheat futures price
is presently $3.15 a bushel, a difference of 5 cents. Your
analysis of market conditions indicates that, over the next
few months, the price difference between the two contracts
will widen to become greater than 5 cents. To profit if you
are right, you could sell the March futures contract (the
lower priced contract) and buy the May futures contract (the
higher priced contract). Assume time and events prove you
right and that, by February, the March futures price has
risen to $3.20 and May futures price is $3.35, a difference
of 15 cents. By liquidating both contracts at this time, you
can realize a net gain of 10 cents a bushel. Since each
contract is 5,000 bushels, the total gain is $500.
| November |
Sell March wheat |
Buy May wheat |
Spread |
| |
$3.10 Bu. |
$3.15 Bu. |
5 cents |
| February |
Buy March wheat |
Sell May wheat |
|
| |
$3.20 |
$3.35 |
15 cents |
| |
$ .10 loss |
$ .20 gain |
|
Had the spread (i.e. the
price difference) narrowed by 10 cents a bushel rather than
widened by 10 cents a bushel the transactions just
illustrated would have resulted in a loss of $500. Virtually
unlimited numbers and types of spread possibilities exist,
as do many other, even more complex futures trading
strategies. These, however, are beyond the scope of an
introductory booklet and should be considered only by
someone who well understands the risk/reward arithmetic
involved.
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Participating in Futures Trading
Now that you have an overview
of what futures markets are, why they exist and how they
work, the next step is to consider various ways in which you
may be able to participate in futures trading. There are a
number of alternatives and the only best alternative--if you
decide to participate at all--is whichever one is best for
you. Also discussed is the opening of a futures trading
account, the regulatory safeguards provided participants in
futures markets, and methods for resolving disputes, should
they arise.
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Deciding How to Participate
At the risk of oversimplification, choosing a method of
participation is largely a matter of deciding how directly
and extensively you, personally, want to be involved in
making trading decisions and managing your account. Many
futures traders prefer to do their own research and analysis
and make their own decisions about what and when to buy and
sell. That is, they manage their own futures trades in much
the same way they would manage their own stock portfolios.
Others choose to rely on or at least consider the
recommendations of a brokerage firm or account executive.
Some purchase independent trading advice. Others would
rather have someone else be responsible for trading their
account and therefore give trading authority to their
broker. Still others purchase an interest in a commodity
trading pool.
There's no formula for deciding. Your decision should,
however, take into account such things as your knowledge of
and any previous experience in futures trading, how much
time and attention you are able to devote to trading, the
amount of capital you can afford to commit to futures, and,
by no means least, your individual temperament and tolerance
for risk. The latter is important. Some individuals thrive
on being directly involved in the fast pace of futures
trading, others are unable, reluctant, or lack the time to
make the immediate decisions that are frequently required.
Some recognize and accept the fact that futures trading all
but inevitably involves having some losing trades. Others
lack the necessary disposition or discipline to acknowledge
that they were wrong on this particular occasion and
liquidate the position. Many experienced traders thus
suggest that, of all the things you need to know before
trading in futures contracts, one of the most important is
to know yourself. This can help you make the right decision
about whether to participate at all and, if so, in what way.
In no event, it bears repeating, should you participate in
futures trading unless the capital you would commit its risk
capital. That is, capital which, in pursuit of larger
profits, you can afford to lose. It should be capital over
and above that needed for necessities, emergencies, savings
and achieving your long-term investment objectives. You
should also understand that, because of the leverage
involved in futures, the profit and loss fluctuations may be
wider than in most types of investment activity and you may
be required to cover deficiencies due to losses over and
above what you had expected to commit to futures.
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Trade Your Own Account
This involves opening your individual trading account
and--with or without the recommendations of the brokerage
firm--making your own trading decisions. You will also be
responsible for assuring that adequate funds are on deposit
with the brokerage firm for margin purposes, or that such
funds are promptly provided as needed. Practically all of
the major brokerage firms you are familiar with, and many
you may not be familiar with, have departments or even
separate divisions to serve clients who want to allocate
some portion of their investment capital to futures trading.
All brokerage firms conducting futures business with the
public must be registered with the Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (CFTC, the independent regulatory agency of the
federal government that administers the Commodity Exchange
Act) as Futures Commission Merchants or Introducing Brokers
and must be Members of National Futures Association (NFA,
the industrywide self-regulatory association). Different
firms offer different services. Some, for example, have
extensive research departments and can provide current
information and analysis concerning market developments as
well as specific trading suggestions. Others tailor their
services to clients who prefer to make market judgments and
arrive at trading decisions on their own. Still others offer
various combinations of these and other services. An
individual trading account can be opened either directly
with a Futures Commission Merchant or indirectly through an
Introducing Broker. Whichever course you choose, the account
itself will be carried by a Futures Commission Merchant, as
will your money. Introducing Brokers do not accept or handle
customer funds but most offer a variety of trading-related
services. Futures Commission Merchants are required to
maintain the funds and property of their customers in
segregated accounts, separate from the firm's own money.
Along with the particular services a firm provides, discuss
the commissions and trading costs that will be involved.
And, as mentioned, clearly understand how the firm requires
that any margin calls be met. If you have a question about
whether a firm is properly registered with the CFTC and is a
Member of NFA, you can (and should) contact NFA's
Information Center toll-free at 800-621-3570 (within
Illinois call 800-572-9400).
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Have Someone Manage Your Account
A managed account is also your individual account. The major
difference is that you give someone rise--an account
manager--written power of attorney to make and execute
decisions about what and when to trade. He or she will have
discretionary authority to buy or sell for your account or
will contact you for approval to make trades he or she
suggests. You, of course, remain fully responsible for any
losses which may be incurred and, as necessary, for meeting
margin calls, including making up any deficiencies that
exceed your margin deposits. Although an account manager is
likely to be managing the accounts of other persons at the
same time, there is no sharing of gains or losses of other
customers. Trading gains or losses in your account will
result solely from trades which were made for your account.
Many Futures Commission Merchants and Introducing Brokers
accept managed accounts. In most instances, the amount of
money needed to open a managed account is larger than the
amount required to establish an account you intend to trade
yourself. Different firms and account managers, however,
have different requirements and the range can be quite wide.
Be certain to read and understand all of the literature and
agreements you receive from the broker. Some account
managers have their own trading approaches and accept only
clients to whom that approach is acceptable. Others tailor
their trading to a client's objectives. In either case,
obtain enough information and ask enough questions to assure
yourself that your money will be managed in a way that's
consistent with your goals. Discuss fees. In addition to
commissions on trades made for your account, it is not
uncommon for account managers to charge a management fee,
and/or there may be some arrangement for the manager to
participate in the net profits that his management produces.
These charges are required to be fully disclosed in advance.
Make sure you know about every charge to be made to your
account and what each charge is for. While there can be no
assurance that past performance will be indicative of future
performance, it can be useful to inquire about the track
record of an account manager you are considering. Account
managers associated with a Futures Commission Merchant or
Introducing Broker must generally meet certain experience
requirements if the account is to be traded on a
discretionary basis. Finally, take note of whether the
account management agreement includes a provision to
automatically liquidate positions and close out the account
if and when losses exceed a certain amount. And, of course,
you should know and agree on what will be done with profits,
and what, if any, restrictions apply to withdrawals from the
account.
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Use a Commodity Trading Advisor
As the term implies, a Commodity Trading Advisor is an
individual (or firm) that, for a fee, provides advice on
commodity trading, including specific trading
recommendations such as when to establish a particular long
or short position and when to liquidate that position.
Generally, to help you choose trading strategies that match
your trading objectives, advisors offer analyses and
judgments as to the prospective rewards and risks of the
trades they suggest. Trading recommendations may be
communicated by phone, wire or mail. Some offer the
opportunity for you to phone when you have questions and
some provide a frequently updated hotline you can call for a
recording of current information and trading advice. Even
though you may trade on the basis of an advisor's
recommendations, you will need to open your own account
with, and send your margin payments directly to, a Futures
Commission Merchant. Commodity Trading Advisors cannot
accept or handle their customers funds unless they are also
registered as Futures Commission Merchants. Some Commodity
Trading Advisors offer managed accounts. The account itself,
however, must still be with a Futures Commission Merchant
and in your name, with the advisor designated in writing to
make and execute trading decisions on a discretionary basis.
CFTC Regulations require that Commodity Trading Advisors
provide their customers, in advance, with what is called a
Disclosure Document. Read it carefully and ask the Commodity
Trading Advisor to explain any points you don't understand.
If your money is important to you, so is the information
contained in the Disclosure Document! The prospectus-like
document contains information about the advisor, his
experience and, by no means least, his current (and any
previous) performance records. If you use an advisor to
manage your account, he must first obtain a signed
acknowledgment from you that you have received and
understood the Disclosure Document. As in any method of
participating in futures trading, discuss and understand the
advisor's fee arrangements. And if he will be managing your
account, ask the same questions you would ask of any account
manager you are considering. Commodity Trading Advisors must
be registered as such with the CFTC, and those that accept
authority to manage customer accounts must also be Members
of NFA. You can verify that these requirements have been met
by calling NFA toll-free at 800-621-3570 (within Illinois
call 800-572-9400).
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Participate in Commodity Pool
Another alternative method of participating in futures
trading is through a commodity pool, which is similar in
concept to a common stock mutual fund. It is the only method
of participation in which you will not have your own
individual trading account. Instead, your money will be
combined with that of other pool participants and, in
effect, traded as a single account. You share in the profits
or losses of the pool in proportion to your investment in
the pool. One potential advantage is greater diversification
of risks than you might obtain if you were to establish your
own trading account. Another is that your risk of loss is
generally limited to your investment in the pool, because
most pools are formed as limited partnerships. And you won't
be subject to margin calls. Bear in mind, however, that the
risks which a pool incurs in any given futures transaction
are no different than the risks incurred by an individual
trader. The pool still trades in futures contracts which are
highly leveraged and in markets which can be highly
volatile. And like an individual trader, the pool can suffer
substantial losses as well as realize substantial profits. A
major consideration, therefore, is who will be managing the
pool in terms of directing its trading. While a pool must
execute all of its trades through a brokerage firm which is
registered with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant,
it may or may not have any other affiliation with the
brokerage firm. Some brokerage firms, to serve those
customers who prefer to participate in commodity trading
through a pool, either operate or have a relationship with
one or more commodity trading pools. Other pools operate
independently. A Commodity Pool Operator cannot accept your
money until it has provided you with a Disclosure Document
that contains information about the pool operator, the
pool's principals and any outside persons who will be
providing trading advice or making trading decisions. It
must also disclose the previous performance records, if any,
of all persons who will be operating or advising the pool
lot, if none, a statement to that effect). Disclosure
Documents contain important information and should be
carefully read before you invest your money. Another
requirement is that the Disclosure Document advise you of
the risks involved. In the case of a new pool, there is
frequently a provision that the pool will not begin trading
until (and unless) a certain amount of money is raised.
Normally, a time deadline is set and the Commodity Pool
Operator is required to state in the Disclosure Document
what that deadline is (or, if there is none, that the time
period for raising, funds is indefinite). Be sure you
understand the terms, including how your money will be
invested in the meantime, what interest you will earn (if
any), and how and when your investment will be returned in
the event the pool does not commence trading. Determine
whether you will be responsible for any losses in excess of
your investment in the pool. If so, this must be indicated
prominently at the beginning of the pool's Disclosure
Document. Ask about fees and other costs, including what, if
any, initial charges will be made against your investment
for organizational or administrative expenses. Such
information should be noted in the Disclosure Document. You
should also determine from the Disclosure Document how the
pool's operator and advisor are compensated. Understand,
too, the procedure for redeeming your shares in the pool,
any restrictions that may exist, and provisions for
liquidating and dissolving the pool if more than a certain
percentage of the capital were to be lost, Ask about the
pool operator's general trading philosophy, what types of
contracts will be traded, whether they will be day-traded,
etc. With few exceptions, Commodity Pool Operators must be
registered with the CFTC and be Members of NFA. You can
verify that these requirements have been met by contacting
NFA toll-free at 800-621-3570 (within Illinois call
800-572-9400).
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Regulation of
Futures Trading
Firms and individuals that
conduct futures trading business with the public are subject
to regulation by the CFTC and by NFA. All futures exchanges
are also regulated by the CFTC. NFA is a congressionally
authorized self-regulatory organization subject to CFTC
oversight. It exercises regulatory Authority with the CFTC
over Futures Commission Merchants, Introducing Brokers,
Commodity Trading Advisors, Commodity Pool Operators and
Associated Persons (salespersons) of all of the foregoing.
The NFA staff consists of more than 140 field auditors and
investigators. In addition, NFA has the responsibility for
registering persons and firms that are required to be
registered with the CFTC. Firms and individuals that violate
NFA rules of professional ethics and conduct or that fail to
comply with strictly enforced financial and record-keeping
requirements can, if circumstances warrant, be permanently
barred from engaging in any futures-related business with
the public. The enforcement powers of the CFTC are similar
to those of other major federal regulatory agencies,
including the power to seek criminal prosecution by the
Department of Justice where circumstances warrant such
action. Futures Commission Merchants which are members of an
exchange are subject to not only CFTC and NFA regulation but
to regulation by the exchanges of which they are members.
Exchange regulatory staffs are responsible, subject to CFTC
oversight, for the business conduct and financial
responsibility of their member firms. Violations of exchange
rules can result in substantial fines, suspension or
revocation of trading privileges, and loss of exchange
membership.
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Words of
Caution
It is against the law for any
person or firm to offer futures contracts for purchase or
sale unless those contracts are traded on one of the
nation's regulated futures exchanges and unless the person
or firm is registered with the CFTC. Moreover, persons and
firms conducting futures-related business with the public
must be Members of NFA. Thus, you should be extremely
cautious if approached by someone attempting to sell you a
commodity-related investment unless you are able to verify
that the offeror is registered with the CFTC and is a Member
of NFA. In a number of cases, sellers of illegal
off-exchange futures contracts have labeled their
investments by different names--such as "deferred delivery,"
"forward" or "partial payment" contracts--in an attempt to
avoid the strict laws applicable to regulated futures
trading. Many operate out of telephone boiler rooms, employ
high-pressure and misleading sales tactics, and may state
that they are exempt from registration and regulatory
requirements. This, in itself, should be reason enough to
conduct a check before you write a check. You can quickly
verify whether a particular firm or person is currently
registered with the CFTC and is an NFA Member by phoning NFA
toll-free at 800-621-3570 (within Illinois call
800-572-9400).
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Establishing an Account
At the time you apply to
establish a futures trading account, you can expect to be
asked for certain information beyond simply your name,
address and phone number. The requested information will
generally include (but not necessarily be limited to) your
income, net worth, what previous investment or futures
trading experience you have had, and any other information
needed in order to advise you of the risks involved in
trading futures contracts. At a minimum, the person or firm
who will handle your account is required to provide you with
risk disclosure documents or statements specified by the
CFTC and obtain written acknowledgment that you have
received and understood them. Opening a futures account is a
serious decision--no less so than making any major financial
investment--and should obviously be approached as such. Just
as you wouldn't consider buying a car or a house without
carefully reading and understanding the terms of the
contract, neither should you establish a trading account
without first reading and understanding the Account
Agreement and all other documents supplied by your broker.
It is in your interest and the firm's interest that you
dearly know your rights and obligations as well as the
rights and obligations of the firm with which you are
dealing before you enter into any futures transaction. If
you have questions about exactly what any provisions of the
Agreement mean, don't hesitate to ask. A good and continuing
relationship can exist only if both parties have, from the
outset, a clear understanding of the relationship. Nor
should you be hesitant to ask, in advance, what services you
will be getting for the trading commissions the firm
charges. As indicated earlier, not all firms offer identical
services. And not all clients have identical needs. If it is
important to you, for example, you might inquire about the
firm's research capability, and whatever reports it makes
available to clients. Other subjects of inquiry could be how
transaction and statement information will be provided, and
how your orders will be handled and executed.
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If a Dispute
Should Arise
All but a small percentage of
transactions involving regulated futures contracts take
place without problems or misunderstandings. However, in any
business in which some 150 million or more contracts are
traded each year, occasional disagreements are inevitable.
Obviously, the best way to resolve a disagreement is through
direct discussions by the parties involved. Failing this,
however, participants in futures markets have several
alternatives (unless some particular method has been agreed
to in advance). Under certain circumstances, it may be
possible to seek resolution through the exchange where the
futures contracts were traded. Or a claim for reparations
may be filed with the CFTC. However, a newer, generally
faster and less expensive alternative is to apply to resolve
the disagreement through the arbitration program conducted
by National Futures Association. There are several
advantages:
- You can elect, if you
prefer, to have arbitrators who have no connection with
the futures industry.
- You do not have to allege
or prove that any law or rule was broken only that you
were dealt with improperly or unfairly.
- In some cases, it may be
possible to conduct arbitration entirely through written
submissions. If a hearing is required, it can generally be
scheduled at a time and place convenient for both parties.
- Unless you wish to do so,
you do not have to employ an attorney.
For a plain language
explanation of the arbitration program and how it works,
write or phone NFA for a copy of Arbitration: A Way to
Resolve Futures-Related Disputes. The booklet is available
at no cost.
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What to Look for in a Futures
Contract?
Whatever type of investment
you are considering--including but not limited to futures
contracts--it makes sense to begin by obtaining as much
information as possible about that particular investment.
The more you know in advance, the less likely there will be
surprises later on. Moreover, even among futures contracts,
there are important differences which--because they can
affect your investment results--should be taken into account
in making your investment decisions.
Delivery-type futures
contracts stipulate the specifications of the commodity to
be delivered (such as 5,000 bushels of grain, 40,000 pounds
of livestock, or 100 troy ounces of gold). Foreign currency
futures provide for delivery of a specified number of marks,
francs, yen, pounds or pesos. U.S. Treasury obligation
futures are in terms of instruments having a stated face
value (such as $100,000 or $1 million) at maturity. Futures
contracts that call for cash settlement rather than delivery
are based on a given index number times a specified dollar
multiple. This is the case, for example, with stock index
futures. Whatever the yardstick, it's important to know
precisely what it is you would be buying or selling, and the
quantity you would be buying or selling.
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Futures prices are usually
quoted the same way prices are quoted in the cash market
(where a cash market exists). That is, in dollars, cents,
and sometimes fractions of a cent, per bushel, pound or
ounce; also in dollars, cents and increments of a cent for
foreign currencies; and in points and percentages of a point
for financial instruments. Cash settlement contract prices
are quoted in terms of an index number, usually stated to
two decimal points. Be certain you understand the price
quotation system for the particular futures contract you are
considering.
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